Karabağ 1-0 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.9
Over 2.5
60%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
49%
-9.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
51%
+9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
2.52/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.60
+39% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zira
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.02.2025 Zira Zira 3-2 HT 0-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
10.11.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 4-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
01.09.2024 Zira Zira 1-3 HT 1-2 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
02.06.2024 Zira Zira 1-2 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
10.03.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
24.12.2023 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-1 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ nicked a narrow win over Zira 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Karabağ and 1.00 for Zira.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Zira?

Karabağ 1-0 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 62%, draw 19%, Zira 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
6 Apr 2025
16:00 Sabah vs Kapaz Analysis →