Sabah 0-1 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 6 Apr 2025

Sabah
0-1 HT 0-1
Kapaz
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.9pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.36/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.35
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
31.01.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 3-2 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
09.11.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
31.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-3 HT 2-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.04.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-2 HT 0-2 Sabah Sabah AZERS
17.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 3-2 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-4 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERK
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz nicked a narrow win over Sabah 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sabah at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sabah and 2.17 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Kapaz?

Sabah 0-1 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sabah 44%, draw 30%, Kapaz 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sabah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
6 Apr 2025
18:30 Karabağ vs Zira Analysis →