Macara 0-1 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Apr 2026

Macara
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Aucas
📅06/04/2026 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Macara vs Aucas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.32
Draw
32%
3.02
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.59
Over
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Macara v Aucas — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Macara The Market 43%
Signal
AWAY Aucas The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.11 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Weak Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3

Macara vs Aucas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aucas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Aucas Aucas 0-2 HT 0-0 Macara Macara EKV1
05.10.2025 Macara Macara 3-2 HT 0-2 Aucas Aucas EKV1
06.07.2025 Aucas Aucas 1-4 HT 0-1 Macara Macara EKV1
09.03.2025 Macara Macara 1-1 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
20.10.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 1-1 Macara Macara EKV1
28.04.2024 Macara Macara 0-2 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1

Macara 0-1 Aucas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
0 - 1
AWAY Aucas
0.56 xG 2.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
344 Passes 364
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Macara vs Aucas
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aucas found just enough to beat Macara 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

From a near-even 38% / 32% / 30% read, it was Aucas who turned the coin-flip their way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Aucas saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.56 to 2.38 — on chances created, Aucas won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Macara against 1.50 for Aucas.

Macara vs Aucas Result & Final Score

Macara 0 - 1 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Macara vs Aucas Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Macara 38%, draw 32%, Aucas 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Macara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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