Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2
14%
9.09
X/X
14%
5.93
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
12%
6.3
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.01/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.68
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.6 Crosses 18.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 2.21
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
337 Passes 533
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
11.10.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
06.08.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.02.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
29.10.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
18.05.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-3 HT 0-3 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.55 xG 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
416 Passes 415
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 50% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 50%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.55 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.67 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 42%, draw 27%, Yokohama F. Marinos 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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