St George City FA 1-2 Sydney II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.9pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+11.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney II EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.97
+18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses 10.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sydney II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.24 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 356
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.05.2024 Sydney II Sydney II 1-3 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
15.07.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 3-4 HT 1-2 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
02.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 2-2 HT 0-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Sydney II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney II edged past St George City FA 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St George City FA at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for St George City FA and 2.33 for Sydney II.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Sydney II?

St George City FA 1-2 Sydney II in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Sydney II?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 53%, draw 20%, Sydney II 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (St George City FA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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