CA Penarol 5-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.55/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.33
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2026 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
20.10.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-0 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
22.06.2025 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
20.04.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
15.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
08.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
5-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
Match summary & frequently asked questions

CA Penarol ran out comfortable winners over Montevideo Wanderers 5-1 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 6 Aug 2026. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 12-11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CA Penarol and 0.67 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

CA Penarol 5-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 60%, draw 22%, Montevideo Wanderers 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ BTTS Yes
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