Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Montevideo Wanderers edged past CA Penarol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. CA Penarol carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 35% of the ball to CA Penarol's 65%, shots finished 13-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.67 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 17%, draw 23%, CA Penarol 59%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA Penarol) went the other way.