El Paso Locomotive 1-0 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Aug 2026

📅06/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.45
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -25%
1.57/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.44
+15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
15.6 Crosses 17.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Monterey Bay
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
345 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2026 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
15.03.2026 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-3 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
17.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-2 HT 1-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
22.06.2025 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
25.08.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
14.03.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1-0
AWAY Monterey Bay
0.89 xG 0.28
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
207 Passes 220
17 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay
Match summary & frequently asked questions

El Paso Locomotive edged past Monterey Bay 1-0 in the USL Championship on 6 Aug 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.89 to 0.28.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.83 for Monterey Bay.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?

El Paso Locomotive 1-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 06/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 53%, draw 22%, Monterey Bay 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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