Bala Town 0-0 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
16.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.7 — our 20% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 59%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.16/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.73
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +49%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Penybont
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Bala Town Bala Town 3-2 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
08.03.2025 Penybont Penybont 3-2 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
26.10.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-1 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
31.08.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
02.12.2023 Penybont Penybont 0-2 HT 0-2 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
02.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town and Penybont fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bala Town and 1.50 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Penybont?

Bala Town 0-0 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 25%, draw 25%, Penybont 50%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Penybont), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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