The New Saints 5-0 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.96
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
8.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 25% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
3.22/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.29
+34% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
08.03.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 3-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
10.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
23.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
5-0
AWAY Haverfordwest County
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Haverfordwest County 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, The New Saints had 64% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 36%, shots finished 19-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for The New Saints and 0.67 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County?

The New Saints 5-0 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 67%, draw 20%, Haverfordwest County 13%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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