06/09/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
⟳Odds and our pick may update before kickoff — check again closer to match time. This match may also enter or leave our daily prediction lists until kick-off; from kick-off, a listed pick is locked and stays published.
Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
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Derry City v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
SIGNALS
Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
Derry City vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Derry City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY
Dundalk
1.33
Avg Goals (FT)
1.17
1.20
xG
1.30
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
4
320
Passes
200
72%
Pass Accuracy
61%
24
Box Touches
21
27
Crosses
18
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
PREVIEW
Derry City vs Dundalk
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW
There's a lean to Derry City in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Dundalk.
Derry City vs Dundalk Kick-off Time
Derry City play Dundalk in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 06/09/2026, kick-off 18:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Derry City vs Dundalk Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Derry City vs Dundalk is a Derry City win at about 46% probability, priced 2.02 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Derry City 46%, draw 27%, Dundalk 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
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