Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Dundalk v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Dundalk 2-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Dundalk found just enough to beat Derry City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 54%.
By the numbers, Dundalk had 46% of the ball to Derry City's 54%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.76 to 0.87.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundalk and 1.83 for Derry City.
Dundalk vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Dundalk 2 - 1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 41%, draw 29%, Derry City 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.