Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USL Championship, 6 Sep 2026

📅06/09/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.58
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2026 New Mexico United New Mexico United 3-1 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
17.08.2025 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
16.03.2025 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 2-3 HT 0-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
10.11.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
01.08.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-2 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
05.05.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-2 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
PREVIEW Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

This is one of the day's tightest calls on our numbers — no outcome separates itself.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.83 for New Mexico United.

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United Kick-off Time

Las Vegas Lights play New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 06/09/2026, kick-off 05:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs New Mexico United is a Las Vegas Lights win at about 40% probability, priced 2.18 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Las Vegas Lights 40%, draw 27%, New Mexico United 33%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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