Sigma Olomouc 0-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
7%
20.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.11/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.20
-8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
25.2 Crosses 21.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
166 Passes 361
60% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
24.05.2025 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
14.05.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-1 HT 3-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
01.03.2025 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
27.09.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
28.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
0-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.90 xG 0.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
215 Passes 433
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag squeezed past Sigma Olomouc 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 37% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 63%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.90 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.83 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Sigma Olomouc 0-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 26%, draw 24%, Sparta Prag 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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