Spartak Moskova 1-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.96
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
19%
5.13
X/2
11%
7.1
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
24.45
2/2
10%
4.91
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.59/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.51
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
16.3 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
11.05.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
29.04.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUSK
07.02.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
02.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-3 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
22.09.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-2 HT 2-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.48 xG 2.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
318 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova and Dinamo Moscow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 57% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 43%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.48 to 2.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spartak Moskova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.50 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Spartak Moskova 1-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 49%, draw 24%, Dinamo Moscow 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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