07/01/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Bergerac vs Libourne St. Seurin Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Over 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
28%
Draw
26%
39%
Away Win
42%
42%
Under 2.5
45%
58%
Over 2.5
55%
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
44%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bergerac v Libourne St. Seurin — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bergerac
EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Libourne St. Seurin
EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-64%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
46%
Ball Possession
54%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
301 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 79%
14.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
20.0
Crosses
–
3.5
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bergerac vs Libourne St. Seurin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bergerac edged past Libourne St. Seurin 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Bergerac made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Bergerac vs Libourne St. Seurin?
Bergerac 2-1 Libourne St. Seurin in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bergerac vs Libourne St. Seurin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Libourne St. Seurin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bergerac 33%, draw 28%, Libourne St. Seurin 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Libourne St. Seurin) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Libourne St. Seurin)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRK
More France - Cup
7 Jan 2024