Revel 0-9 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Jan 2024

Revel
0-9 HT 0-4
PSG
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
9.57
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
63%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.0
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.03
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
61.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
36%
7.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
18%
1.33
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 7.04 — our 36% vs market 8.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
11%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Revel EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 97%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +107%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.5
Crosses 17.1
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Revel
0-9
AWAY PSG
0.25 xG 7.14
23% Ball Possession 77%
9 Total Shots 29
5 Shots on Target 18
2 Corners 8
147 Passes 647
68% Pass Accuracy 90%
3 Box Touches 57
4 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Revel vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG swept aside Revel 9-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 9-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Revel had 23% of the ball to PSG's 77%, shots finished 9-29, expected goals 0.25 to 7.14.

What was the final score of Revel vs PSG?

Revel 0-9 PSG in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Revel vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Revel 15%, draw 22%, PSG 63%. The final score 0-9 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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