Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Penya Encarnada v UE Santa Coloma — Team-Based Signals
Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Penya Encarnada 2-1 UE Santa Coloma — Actual Match Statistics
Penya Encarnada nicked a narrow win over UE Santa Coloma 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UE Santa Coloma at 81% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
On the day, Penya Encarnada had 34% of the ball to UE Santa Coloma's 66%, shots finished 4-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Penya Encarnada and 1.50 for UE Santa Coloma.
What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma?
Penya Encarnada 2-1 UE Santa Coloma in the Andorra - 1st Division on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma?
Before kick-off our model rated an UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 8%, draw 10%, UE Santa Coloma 81%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (UE Santa Coloma), BTTS No went the other way.