Estrela vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estrela v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals
Estrela vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Estrela 1-0 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics
Estrela edged past Santa Clara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Estrela had 45% of the ball to Santa Clara's 55%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.94 to 1.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Estrela and 0.33 for Santa Clara.
What was the final score of Estrela vs Santa Clara?
Estrela 1-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estrela vs Santa Clara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Estrela 24%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.