Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreirense v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals
Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Moreirense
POR
Moreirense 1-2 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente squeezed past Moreirense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gil Vicente as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Moreirense had 42% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 58%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.12 to 2.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gil Vicente's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.
What was the final score of Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?
Moreirense 1-2 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 24%, draw 34%, Gil Vicente 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.