Kızılyıldız 5-0 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
80%
+0.2pp
13%
Draw
13%
-0.1pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.81/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.07
+53% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
27.3 Crosses 12.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Novi Pazar
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.27 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
385 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-5 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
17.05.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-3 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
02.04.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
15.12.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-7 HT 1-4 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
10.08.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.02.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-3 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
5-0
AWAY Novi Pazar
3.26 xG 0.32
71% Ball Possession 29%
21 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
526 Passes 160
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
37 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside Novi Pazar 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 71% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 29%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.26 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.17 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Novi Pazar?

Kızılyıldız 5-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 81%, draw 13%, Novi Pazar 6%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
7 Feb 2026
16:00 Javor Ivanjica vs Backa Topola Analysis →
16:00 Radnik Surdulica vs FK Partizan Analysis →