Novi Pazar 1-5 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
7.95
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
74%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
31%
X/X
8%
2/1
2%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
10%
+0.5pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.5pp
74%
Away Win
76%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 81%
+18% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.13/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.74
+63% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
201 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.8
13.9 Crosses 25.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.76 xG 2.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
284 Passes 370
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-3 HT 1-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
02.04.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
15.12.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-7 HT 1-4 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
10.08.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.02.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-3 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
02.09.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
1-5
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.74 xG 2.74
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 7
244 Passes 403
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız cruised past Novi Pazar 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 41% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 59%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.74 to 2.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Novi Pazar and 3.50 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız?

Novi Pazar 1-5 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 10%, draw 16%, Kızılyıldız 74%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
31 Aug 2025
22:00 Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →
22:00 Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Spartak Subotica Analysis →
22:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Radnicki Nis Analysis →