Napredak Krusevac 3-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.26/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.44
-17% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
22.7 Crosses 19.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-2D-3L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.04.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRBK
09.12.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 3-2 HT 1-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
08.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
06.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.02 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
344 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac beat IMT Novi Beograd 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napredak Krusevac as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 54% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 46%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.02 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.00 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Napredak Krusevac 3-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 47%, draw 24%, IMT Novi Beograd 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
31 Aug 2025
20:30 Novi Pazar vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
22:00 Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Spartak Subotica Analysis →
22:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Radnicki Nis Analysis →