Karabağ vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AVL
5-1
HT 3-1
Karabağ
AVL
Karabağ 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Karabağ and Bayer Leverkusen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Bayer Leverkusen at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Karabağ had 34% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 66%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.81 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karabağ and 3.00 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Karabağ 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 23%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 53%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) went the other way.