Marsilya vs Villarreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marsilya v Villarreal — Team-Based Signals
Marsilya vs Villarreal Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Villarreal
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-1
Villarreal
HAZ
Marsilya 4-0 Villarreal — Actual Match Statistics
Marsilya ran out comfortable winners over Villarreal 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Marsilya had 60% of the ball to Villarreal's 40%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 3.05 to 0.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marsilya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marsilya and 1.00 for Villarreal.
What was the final score of Marsilya vs Villarreal?
Marsilya 4-0 Villarreal in the UEFA Europa League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marsilya vs Villarreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marsilya 42%, draw 26%, Villarreal 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.