Sparta Prag vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Prag v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Prag vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sparta Prag
AVL
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
AVL
Sparta Prag 1-5 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool ran out comfortable winners over Sparta Prag 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sparta Prag had 37% of the ball to Liverpool's 63%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.88 to 2.76.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.50 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Liverpool?
Sparta Prag 1-5 Liverpool in the UEFA Europa League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 31%, draw 23%, Liverpool 46%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while BTTS No went the other way.