Dender EH 2-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.62
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
7%
7.34
X/2
12%
4.61
X/X
16%
4.47
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.74
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.08
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
21.8 Crosses 21.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.62 xG 2.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 458
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
26.04.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 4-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
22.04.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 2-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
01.02.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 5-0 HT 3-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
05.10.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
16.05.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
2-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.05 xG 2.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 13
229 Passes 329
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH and Sporting Charleroi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dender EH had 43% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 57%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 1.05 to 2.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dender EH and 2.50 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi?

Dender EH 2-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 28%, draw 30%, Sporting Charleroi 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
7 Mar 2026
18:00 OH Leuven vs Westerlo Analysis →
22:45 Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Analysis →