Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Genk — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Genk — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Genk 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 42% of the ball to Genk's 58%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.55 to 1.08 — on chances, Genk could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.67 for Genk.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 60%, draw 23%, Genk 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.