Holbaek vs Naesby Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Holbaek v Naesby — Team-Based Signals
Holbaek vs Naesby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Naesby edged past Holbaek 2-1 away from home.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Holbaek at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Holbaek and 2.00 for Naesby.
What was the final score of Holbaek vs Naesby?
Holbaek 1-2 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Naesby?
Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 55%, draw 22%, Naesby 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holbaek) went the other way.