Ballymena United 1-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.47
X/2
8%
7.4
X/X
8%
4.57
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
10%
5.78
2/X
9%
14.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.47 — our 23% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.27/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.62
-22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.12.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.08.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
22.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Portadown FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballymena United and 1.00 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Ballymena United 1-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 54%, draw 22%, Portadown FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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