Portadown FC 1-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
15%
5.2
X/2
18%
6.05
X/X
10%
4.96
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.23
2/X
6%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.21
-5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
26.04.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
22.02.2025 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.11.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-3 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
28.09.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.04.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC nicked a narrow win over Ballymena United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portadown FC and 1.00 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Portadown FC 1-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 35%, draw 23%, Ballymena United 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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