Linfield FC 4-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.32
Draw
14%
4.81
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.54
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.6
X/1
18%
3.85
X/2
5%
17.9
X/X
5%
7.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
21.65
2/2
8%
15.2
2/X
5%
24.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.65 — our 16% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-4.7pp
14%
Draw
18%
-3.2pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
2.42/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.67
+9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +33%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Crusaders FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
25.11.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
01.04.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
07.03.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
28.01.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.04.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC cruised past Crusaders FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Linfield FC and 0.83 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Linfield FC 4-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 67%, draw 14%, Crusaders FC 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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