Carrick Rangers 3-3 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 31% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.59
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.58
X/2
14%
5.84
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
20%
3.86
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.02/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
-23% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.08.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
01.03.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-3 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRK
15.02.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
23.11.2024 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
28.09.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
06.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-2 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dungannon Swifts at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Carrick Rangers 3-3 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 35%, draw 24%, Dungannon Swifts 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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