Mura vs ND Primorje Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mura v ND Primorje — Team-Based Signals
Mura vs ND Primorje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Mura 3-1 ND Primorje — Actual Match Statistics
Mura beat ND Primorje 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mura had 47% of the ball to ND Primorje's 53%, shots finished 15-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ND Primorje led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mura and 1.17 for ND Primorje.
What was the final score of Mura vs ND Primorje?
Mura 3-1 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mura vs ND Primorje?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mura 43%, draw 25%, ND Primorje 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.