ND Primorje 1-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 33% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.62/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
+25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
198 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 2-1 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
17.05.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
15.03.2025 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
30.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.09.2024 Mura Mura 4-0 HT 2-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
1-0
AWAY Mura
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje edged past Mura 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day ND Primorje made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, ND Primorje had 40% of the ball to Mura's 60%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for ND Primorje and 1.80 for Mura.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Mura?

ND Primorje 1-0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a ND Primorje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 40%, draw 27%, Mura 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ND Primorje), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ND Primorje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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