Maribor 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.39/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
03.05.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
09.03.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
10.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
25.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
11.05.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor and Olimpija Ljubljana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Maribor had 51% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 49%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maribor and 0.67 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Maribor 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maribor 43%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5
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