Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.75
No
40%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
12%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
15%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.7pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.20/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.26
-4% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Maribor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
09.03.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
10.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
25.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
11.05.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
17.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-0
AWAY Maribor
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana edged past Maribor 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Olimpija Ljubljana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 43% of the ball to Maribor's 57%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.33 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 32%, draw 30%, Maribor 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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