Celje 4-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.18
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.47
2-3 Goals
39%
2.36
4-5 Goals
27%
2.24
6+ Goals
13%
3.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
79%
-7.3pp
15%
Draw
12%
+2.7pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
2.67/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.95
+5% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
505 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Domzale
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
29.03.2025 Domzale Domzale 0-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
07.12.2024 Celje Celje 2-2 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.09.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
21.04.2024 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
25.02.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
4-1
AWAY Domzale
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje cruised past Domzale 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celje had 66% of the ball to Domzale's 34%, shots finished 19-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celje and 1.33 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Celje vs Domzale?

Celje 4-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Celje 72%, draw 15%, Domzale 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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