Mura 2-2 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+4.6pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mura EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.66/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.53
+14% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
2W-0D-2L
AWAY ND Primorje
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
15.03.2025 Mura Mura 3-1 HT 1-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
30.11.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
14.09.2024 Mura Mura 4-0 HT 2-0 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
2-2
AWAY ND Primorje
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mura vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura and ND Primorje couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mura at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Mura had 48% of the ball to ND Primorje's 52%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Mura and 1.00 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Mura vs ND Primorje?

Mura 2-2 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mura vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mura 54%, draw 20%, ND Primorje 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mura) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mura) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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