Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.62
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Estudiantes De Merida The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira The Market 48%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.10
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 80%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.98 xG 1.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
17.03.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
14.11.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
31.10.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
28.09.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
31.03.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
0 - 1
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.90 xG 1.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
222 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Deportivo La Guaira saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.90 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Estudiantes De Merida against 1.83 for Deportivo La Guaira.

Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Result & Final Score

Estudiantes De Merida 0 - 1 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 26%, draw 29%, Deportivo La Guaira 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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