Rimini 1-0 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
16.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.77/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.51
+11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
12.02.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
16.10.2022 Rimini Rimini 5-0 HT 4-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
02.11.2019 Rimini Rimini 1-0 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
1-0
AWAY Vis Pesaro
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini nicked a narrow win over Vis Pesaro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rimini as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rimini had 54% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 46%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rimini had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Rimini and 0.25 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Vis Pesaro?

Rimini 1-0 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Rimini 54%, draw 24%, Vis Pesaro 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rimini) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rimini) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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