Virtus Francavilla 1-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
1.28/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.23
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Francavilla
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Catania
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
19.02.2022 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
17.10.2021 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 1-1 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
13.02.2021 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
18.10.2020 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 0-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
30.06.2020 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 1-2 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Francavilla
1-0
AWAY Catania
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Francavilla vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Francavilla squeezed past Catania 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Virtus Francavilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Virtus Francavilla had 50% of the ball to Catania's 50%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Virtus Francavilla and 1.33 for Catania.

What was the final score of Virtus Francavilla vs Catania?

Virtus Francavilla 1-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Francavilla vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Francavilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Virtus Francavilla 38%, draw 29%, Catania 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Francavilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Francavilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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