Saburtalo 2-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.60/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.20
+14% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Samgurali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2025 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
29.08.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
11.05.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.03.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.12.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
30.09.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-4 HT 1-2 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
2-1
AWAY Samgurali
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Samgurali 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 51% of the ball to Samgurali's 49%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Saburtalo and 0.83 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Samgurali?

Saburtalo 2-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 48%, draw 25%, Samgurali 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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