Samgurali 0-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.02/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.43
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.03.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.12.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
30.09.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-4 HT 1-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2024 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
15.04.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-3 HT 2-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-1
AWAY Saburtalo
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Samgurali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Samgurali had 36% of the ball to Saburtalo's 64%, shots finished 7-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samgurali and 1.83 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Saburtalo?

Samgurali 0-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 20%, draw 31%, Saburtalo 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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