Saburtalo 2-0 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.96
No
41%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.0pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
47%
+12.0pp
41%
BTTS No
53%
-12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.94/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.17
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
11.05.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.03.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.12.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
30.09.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-4 HT 1-2 Saburtalo GUR
01.06.2024 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
2-0
AWAY Samgurali
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo beat Samgurali 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saburtalo had 51% of the ball to Samgurali's 49%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saburtalo and 1.17 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Samgurali?

Saburtalo 2-0 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 62%, draw 20%, Samgurali 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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