Aguila 2-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 May 2026

Aguila
2 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Alianza
📅07/05/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.56
Over
39%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
3%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aguila The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.04.2026 Alianza Alianza 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.02.2026 Aguila Aguila 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.11.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
14.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
REVIEW Aguila vs Alianza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aguila squeezed past Alianza 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguila and 1.00 for Alianza.

Aguila vs Alianza Result & Final Score

Aguila 2 - 1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aguila vs Alianza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguila 41%, draw 33%, Alianza 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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