Aguila vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aguila v Alianza — Team-Based Signals
Aguila vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aguila squeezed past Alianza 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (61%) never looked like landing.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguila and 1.00 for Alianza.
Aguila vs Alianza Result & Final Score
Aguila 2 - 1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aguila vs Alianza Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aguila 41%, draw 33%, Alianza 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.