Alianza 0-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.6pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.15/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.17
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
19.02.2026 Aguila Aguila 0-3 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
02.11.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
14.04.2025 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
16.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila saw off Alianza 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 37% / 31% — and on the day Aguila made the difference. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza and 0.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Aguila?

Alianza 0-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza 32%, draw 37%, Aguila 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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