Aguila vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguila v Alianza — Team-Based Signals
Aguila vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza swept aside Aguila 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Alianza made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguila and 0.67 for Alianza.
What was the final score of Aguila vs Alianza?
Aguila 0-3 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguila vs Alianza?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aguila 34%, draw 28%, Alianza 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.