Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 7 Jul 2026

📅07/07/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.31
No
32%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.7pp
68%
BTTS Yes
72%
-4.6pp
32%
BTTS No
28%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 56%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.53/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.07
+52% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Queensland Lions
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
27.02.2026 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-2 HT 2-2 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
30.05.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
21.02.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
31.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights squeezed past Queensland Lions 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Queensland Lions at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.33 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Gold Coast Knights 2-1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 07/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 32%, draw 20%, Queensland Lions 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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