Queensland Lions 2-2 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Feb 2026

📅27/02/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-5.8pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.33/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -44%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.05.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
21.02.2025 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 3-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
31.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.08.2024 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 5-0 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
18.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
13.08.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions and Gold Coast Knights couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

This one beat our numbers. Queensland Lions carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.83 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?

Queensland Lions 2-2 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 57%, draw 18%, Gold Coast Knights 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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